Digital transformation and the paradox of financial inclusion in India

by Suyash Rai.

India has made great strides in digital technology, becoming a leading exporter of digitally delivered services to the global economy. These capabilities with computer technology fuelled hopes that digital transformation could yield gains for the Indian state that are comparable to those seen in the private sector. The `Digital Public Infrastructure (DPI)’ approach, with India’s Aadhaar digital ID system as a prime example, is presented as a path to higher GDP growth for developing countries. There is an emerging debate on the role of the state in shaping the development and deployment of DPIs.

Two key pillars of the Indian story with DPIs are identity services (“Aadhaar”) and their impact on financial inclusion. In a new working paper, Economic development and digital transformation: Learning from the experience of Aadhaar and financial inclusion in India, I critically examine the Indian progress on financial inclusion between 2011 and 2021, revealing a paradox: while account ownership surged, account usage remained low.

The facts

The paper analyses India’s performance compared to other lower middle-income and middle-income countries. The evidence shows:

• Impressive account opening: India witnessed remarkable progress in account penetration, surpassing the average improvement in middle-income countries.
• High inactivity: A significant percentage of accounts in India were inactive, far exceeding the average for middle-income countries.
• Low account usage: India lagged behind in account usage for both consumption smoothing (regular deposits and withdrawals) and digital payments, indicating a gap between account ownership and actual financial inclusion.

The role of government mandates and Aadhaar

We argue that the rapid scale of account opening was caused by a series of government and Reserve Bank of India (RBI)mandates, particularly the Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana (PMJDY). While Aadhaar played a role, it was primarily used as a physical ID for KYC, rather than as a digital ID through e-KYC. The gains in account opening may have a lot to do with state coercion and less to do with DPI.

The primary objective driving these initiatives was to facilitate direct benefit transfers (DBT) for welfare schemes. The government’s focus on DBT aimed to reduce leakages and improve attribution for its welfare programs in the eyes of voters.

Why did this approach yield disappointing results?

The paper explores several reasons for the limited account usage despite the increase in account ownership:

• The lack of a viable business model: No-frills accounts, with zero minimum balance and free transactions, are commercially unattractive for banks.
• Mismatch between the solution and the problem: The focus on account opening for DBT didn’t necessarily translate into accounts that address the richness and complexity of finance for the poor, of meeting the diverse needs of users for consumption smoothing and payments.

Lessons

The top-down approach, with a readiness to utilise the coercive power of the state, has limitations. While the government achieved its objective of scaling up DBT, this came at the cost of genuine financial inclusion and limited the potential uses of Aadhaar as a DPI.

We highlight the need for a more balanced approach, considering market forces and user needs, so as to obtain better outcomes with DPIs. We stress the importance of political creativity, institutional reforms, and a broader understanding of public value, beyond narrow fiscal objectives, when designing and implementing DPIs.

We offers insights into the complexities of digital transformation and financial inclusion, challenging the simplistic narrative of Aadhaar’s success. These experiences invite us to rethink the role of the state in shaping DPIs and consider alternative approaches that can truly leverage technology for inclusive and sustainable development.

Suyash Rai is a Fellow at Carnegie India and a Visiting Research Fellow at the xKDR Forum

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