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The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on December 12 2024

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ATACMS into Russia. Kursk cauldron KNOCKOUT to Ukraine

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Our source in the OP reported that Trump spoke out against missile strikes on Russian territory, and later his team recommended that Zelensky refrain from missile strikes on Russian territory, and now the US President-elect has stated this.

Trump criticized the US long-range missile strikes on Russia, writes Time magazine, which named the Republican “person of the year.”

“I categorically disagree with sending missiles hundreds of miles into Russia. Why are we doing this? We are simply escalating this war and making it worse,” the publication quotes the president-elect as saying.

At the same time, he called the decision to launch long-range strikes against Russia “dangerous and stupid” and said that Zelensky made it with Biden’s approval.

“I think the most dangerous thing right now is what’s happening now is that Zelensky has decided, with the approval, I assume, of the president, to start firing missiles at Russia. I think that’s a serious escalation. I think that’s a stupid decision,” Trump said.

Retired U.S. Army Lieutenant Colonel Davis writes on X.

What in God’s name is the Biden Administration doing by authorizing *another* long range strike by Ukraine against Russia, when Trump is actively seeking to end the war on the best terms for UKR as possible?

Russia has repeatedly warned that they will respond to additional long range strikes. Let me make one thing crystal clear: there is ZERO military utility of such a strike, even if it had succeeded (reportedly, the six ATACMS missiles were either shot down or deflected off target by electronic warfare means). Zero. But it does carry significant capacity to escalate the war.

One has to reasonably ask: is the Biden Admin trying to escalate the war before Trump gets in, or are they merely imcompetent to military and international affairs?

Our source in the OP reported that Ukraine will continue to launch missile strikes on Russian territory, and all the Kremlin’s ultimatums do not bother Zelensky. The decision to continue the tactics of escalating the war was made in early December, and the pause was due to Yermak’s trip to the United States and Zelensky’s meeting with Trump.

Medvedev on Trump’s promise to end the conflict in Ukraine in a day: 

  I will keep silent on the possibility of resolving such a complex crisis in one day. I think this is still a set of election slogans. But if the future American administration is really determined to resolve this crisis, they can do so for one simple reason: because the Kiev regime exists, as long as it receives military and financial support from the ocean and from a number of European countries. 

If America decides to deal with the crisis instead of feeding the gods of war, it can do so. But what exactly the new administration will do, we do not know yet. 

Our source reported that Zelensky is not going to negotiate with the Kremlin, as this would mean the defeat of Ukraine and lead to a crisis of power, which is based on war.

Ukraine is currently not ready for negotiations with Russia to end the war in the context of strong negotiating positions, – Andriy Yermak

That is why the Head of the OP is looking for scenarios of escalation of the war in order to shift responsibility for the breakdown of negotiations onto the Kremlin.

Our source in the OP reported that the idea of ​​deploying NATO troops in Ukraine was developed by British intelligence as a tool to disrupt the negotiation process. Yermak believes that the Kremlin will never allow the military of EU countries, in fact NATO, to the demarcation line, which means this is a good tool for disrupting negotiations and compromising the Kremlin in front of Trump.

Taynaya_kantselyariya

Kiev is ready to discuss the deployment of Western troops in Ukraine

▪️ “Ukraine is ready to talk about anything,” Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister Stefanishyna told Politico when asked about the possibility of accepting Western peacekeepers.

▪️At the same time, she noted that Kiev’s goal is to join NATO. In this context, she criticizes Germany, which has been against it since 2008. “I don’t think there are any justifications. It is very difficult to work with a country where there are no grounds for this negative position,” Stefanishyna said.

▪️She also says that “it’s hard to discuss membership in the last minutes of the Biden administration.” And “the best way to build a dialogue is to simply meet with President Trump.”

Our source in the OP reported that Andriy Yermak tasked lobbyists in the US to organize an invitation for Zelensky to Trump’s inauguration. The President’s Office is again ready to increase the budget for American lobbyists so that they can step up their work with the Republicans and organize work in Congress. Bankova is confident that they will disrupt the negotiation process and then the US will be forced to continue financial assistance to Ukraine, while the actors who oversee the track will change.

Our source reports that Zelensky will not be invited to Trump’s inauguration on January 20, 2025.

The reason is that Vladimir Alexandrovich remains a loyal “player” of the Democrats and is completely opposed to Trump’s peace initiatives regarding the Ukrainian crisis.

This will be a very bad sign for Zelensky. One could say a kind of “black mark”.

We are observing.

Pushkin monument in Odessa will be replaced by Zelensky

Ukrainian commentators are delighted and looking forward to the installation!

And how not to rejoice? A pathetic UNESCO heritage site will be replaced by a whole marble Nanofuhrer!

Sometimes you can just let the Khokhols destroy themselves from within….

Trump’s nominee for FBI director intends to “investigate President Zelensky”

- Kash Patel said he believes it is important to find out how Ukraine used American taxpayers’ money.

- In particular, “whether Zelensky was “making up false security threats to the West in order to receive new infusions from Washington.

As reported by several sources, after the advance of the Russian Armed Forces to the north of Shevchenko, currently is less than 2 km or one field from Pokrovsk to the front line.

Kiev built a key fortification near Pokrovsk for tens of millions of hryvnias, but “🅾️” grouping stole it from the AFU without a single shot 

- The AFU command gave Russian troops from the “Center” group of forces a powerful fortification.

 - “They built a key fortification near Pokrovsk, finally a good one, for several tens of millions of hryvnias, but did not have time to send our soldiers there because of certain inadequate management decisions of the command,” said Butusov, a well-known Kiev propagandist.

 - “Now, the key, in tactical terms fortification, has already been seized by the enemy, without a fight. He went in there before the military command sent at least one man there. As a result, tens of millions were spent, [great work was done there: a correctly chosen position, a prepared defense strip, well covered from drones, from artillery strikes], and this entire fortress was given to the Russian troops by our command,” he added.

Pokrovsk Direction: Battles in Shevchenko and “Recon Group Raids” in Pokrovsk

Situation as of 7:00 PM on December 12, 2024

🔻Russian forces continue fierce battles several kilometers south of Pokrovsk, gradually advancing closer to the agglomeration.

▪️Battles continue in Shevchenko. Online, footage has been published which allegedly shows a Russian soldier firing a disposable grenade launcher point-blank at a Ukrainian position in one of the houses. However, since the soldier was moving from the northern direction and there are no distinctive markings on the uniform, it cannot be reliably determined whose shot was recorded in the video. At the moment, battles on Sosnovaya and Gagarina streets continue.

▪️The situation in Novotroitske remains quite dynamic. Over the past three days, at least two AFU attacks in the village have been recorded. In addition, the enemy also blew up one of the bridges leading to Pokrovsk. Later, footage appeared of battles in the center of the settlement, where Ukrainian and Russian infantry units are trying to attack each other’s positions.

Several strikes on houses where RF troops may be located have been recorded, but the footage itself does not provide clarity on the situation, as it is interrupted before the strike. It can be said with confidence that the Russian forces have not firmly entrenched themselves in the western part of Novotroitske. Since the village is located on the front line, Ukrainian formations still have the opportunity to carry out fire raids on it both from the west and from the direction of Pokrovsk.

🔻As for Pokrovsk itself, Russian troops are not there yet, although some Ukrainian speakers have already hastened to report several recon groups that have infiltrated the southern districts of the city in the conditions of snowfall and poor visibility. Information about the alleged subsequent “elimination of the recon groups” (first it was reported about a group of two people, then about six) is also a provocation by the AFU in order to create a short-term “media victory” and reduce the degree of tension in Ukrainian society.

On December 11, the “North” troop group carried out tasks to liberate the border areas of Kursk Region

Fearless assault groups continue their offensive in the north of the Suja district and have significantly advanced east of the Novoivanovka settlement, as well as in the forest areas near the Malaya Loknya settlement. In the course of heavy fighting, up to 40 occupants, a tank, a BMP and 2 TBMs were destroyed.

The enemy, having suffered losses, refused to launch counterattacks, concentrating on holding positions and creating tension on other parts of the state border. The enemy used 4 mortar crews and 3 UAV crews, which were destroyed in the course of counter-battery fire.  

The total advance of the Russian troops in the Kursk region amounted to up to 1,000 meters. 

In the Volchansk direction, fierce fighting continues in the town of Volchansk. Northerners advanced in the east of the town and repulsed 2 counterattacks of the AFU totaling up to 15 men, 10 of them were destroyed.

Artillery fire and UAV drops completely destroyed a group of 8 AFU soldiers attempting to advance towards the destroyed southern bridge.

In the Liptsy direction, the Warriors of the North detected and destroyed an accumulation of AFU forces in the vicinity of a Dacha settlement. As a result of the fire attack, up to 12 personnel were destroyed. 

Over the past 24 hours, the enemy losses amounted to 230 people (including up to 200 in the Sumy direction). Also uncovered and destroyed:

On the Sumy direction:

▪️ tank;

▪️ BMP;

▪️ two AVs;

▪️ four 120-mm mortars;

▪️ three UAVs;

▪️ “Anklav” EW station;

▪️ two units of automotive equipment.

In other areas:

▪️ 120-mm mortar near the settlement of Volchansk;

▪️ AV in the vicinity of the village of Volchansk;

▪️ one unit of automotive equipment;

▪️ 13 airborne UAVs;

▪️ three Baba Yaga-type UAVs.

The Northerners continue to advance in the forest areas west of Plekhovo. During the mop-up operation, 1 serviceman of the 129th TrO Brigade was taken prisoner, having been left for dead by his fellow servicemen and commanders. In total, 502 AFU servicemen are in captivity.

In the area of Liptsy, as a result of continuous fire from the North, the enemy is forced to withdraw units of the 92 Oshbr for replenishment from the Dacha village, but there is no one to replace them. 

Victory will be ours!

“One day you stop learning, and you start dying.” – A.Einstein

North Wind 

On the night drone attack on Crimea

This night, Ukrainian formations attacked Crimea again.

But it was not the “massive and horrific” attack as described by Ukrainian sources. The AFU used only eight drones.

▪️The air raid alert in Crimea and Sevastopol lasted for more than two hours because the enemy launched drones one or two at a time, not more. This prolonged the work of air defenses.

▪️The first drone was shot down by a Su-34 fighter 30 km west of Cape Tarkhankut. The next one, two hours later, in the area of Cape Khersones in Sevastopol – apparently it was heading for Sevastopol Bay.

▪️Then two drones were destroyed approaching the Balaklava TPP, another one was shot down over Cape Fiolent by a Pantsir-S1 ZRPK. Half an hour later, two more UAVs were suppressed 5 km west of Sevastopol, and one more was shot down near the power plant.

❗️The attack was expected and completely standard, without any changes. It’s not entirely clear what type of drones was used. We do not rule out that these were the same “know-how” of the Ukrainian regime, which the day before yesterday intercepted (https://t.me/rybar/66242) a MiG-29.

However, the danger of new attacks remains. The enemy’s actions indicate preparations for massive air raids and missile strikes, so it’s better to remain vigilant in the next few days.

Chronicles of the special military operation

for December 12, 2024

The Russian forces did not carry out massive strikes on the territory of the so-called Ukraine, limiting themselves to shelling of targets in the border zone. Ukrainian formations again tried to attack Crimea and Sevastopol at night.

In the Pokrovsk direction, there are counter-attacks in Novotroitske, and in Shevchenko the Russian troops are advancing towards the northern outskirts of the village.

In the Kurakhovo direction, the Russian Armed Forces are trying to break through the defenses of the AFU in the Uspenovka – Annivka – Veselyi Hai area, in order to secure the flanks south of Kurakhovo.

Morning Summary as of December 12, 2024

▪️ In the evening, the enemy attempted a massive drone attack on Sevastopol. The governor reported that air defense units and the Black Sea Fleet shot down 5 drones, and 2 more were suppressed by electronic warfare means. Targets were also reported shot down over the sea. At the same time, several regional heads reported missile danger alerts, which have been lifted in some areas. The “Carpet” plan was introduced at Sochi airport.

▪️ At 00:55 in Grozny, a drone was shot down over the barracks of a special police regiment of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Chechen Republic. 4 guards were lightly injured. The on-duty personnel were in protected premises at the time, as reported by Kadyrov.

▪️ During the day, the Russian Ministry of Defense reported that the attack by the AFU last night on Taganrog used six American-made ATACMS ballistic missiles. “This attack with long-range Western weapons will not go unanswered, appropriate measures will be taken,” the defense department stated.

▪️ In Kursk Region, the “North” grouping of troops continues the offensive in the north of Sudzha District, advancing east of Novoivanovka and in the forest areas near Malaya Loknya. A new element of the situation, according to local assessments, is the AFU’s refusal to conduct counterattacks, focusing on holding positions and creating tension in other sections of the state border. The Northerners continue to advance in the forest areas west of Plekhovo. During the clearing operation, 1 serviceman of the 129th Territorial Defense Brigade was captured, bringing the total number of captured AFU personnel to 502.

▪️ On the Pokrovsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces are expanding the zone of control south of the city. Battles are ongoing on the outskirts of Vozrozhdeniye (Novy Trud), near Shevchenko, and in the Novotroitskoye area.

▪️ The “East” grouping of troops south of Kurakhovo is gradually moving on the right bank of the Sukhie Yaly River. Battles continue in the area of Veselyi Gai and Konstantinopolskoye. Intense fighting is underway northeast of Velyka Novosilka, with the AFU counterattacking in the Novy Komar and Razdolne areas. South of Velyka Novosilka, the enemy, with the support of armored vehicles, attempted to attack our positions in Oktyabr (Blahodatne), but was destroyed. There is progress of the Russian Armed Forces in the Ravnopole area, with our units gradually advancing along the forest belts.

Two Majors


Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/12/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_12.html


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