The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on December 11 2024

Russia Vows No Concessions As Zelensky Seeks ‘Guarantees’ From Trump, Putin Touts Nuke Alternative

Zelensky – Desperate for Peace

Oreshnik Hellfire 2.0 Coming? Ukraine Tests Putin’s Patience | HIMARS Hit Donbass in Deadly Attack

RUAF Capture Important Stronghold Within Toretsk | Southern Stronghold Encircled Near Kurakhove

End Of Toretsk Is Near l Significant Russian Advance In Toretsk

Novotroitske & Shevchenko captured | Another Abrams was hit [11 December 2024]

In potential negotiations between Ukraine and Russia, Crimea will no longer figure as an argument; the US and EU have already rejected it as a bargaining chip. If the military conflict continues for another six months, the territories of the south-east that are not under Kyiv’s control will also cease to be a bargaining chip – after all, the Russian Armed Forces continue to advance wherever conditions allow them.

The British newspaper The Daily Telegraph also writes that Ukraine will have to give up part of its territory to end the conflict next year. “If Ukraine wants to end the conflict in 2025, it will probably have to sacrifice part of its territory,” the publication says.

As the publication points out, one of the ways to end the conflict is to stop military actions along the current contact line. Also, Kiev should not receive NATO membership, since this is not only compliance with the Russian Federation’s demand, but also the desire of key members of the North Atlantic Alliance. “In theory, there are advantages for everyone. The loss of pieces of the east and south would be bitter for Ukraine, but would ensure peace and lasting independence,” the newspaper concluded.

The discrediting of the Ukrainian case continues. Now Trump personally highlights his narrative that the Ukrainian crisis was used as a corruption case of the Biden family. (This means there will 100% be a strict audit of previously transferred loans and weapons).

Before this, Musk and Trump’s son discredited Zelensky, as well as another loan to Kyiv.

These are all puzzles from one game.

Most likely, Trump understands that Zelensky will abandon the peace case and will try to do everything to drag Trump into the Ukrainian crisis, and to prevent this from happening, the Trumpists need to completely discredit Ze-Ukraine in the eyes of the Americans, so that the decisions of the new White House administration to end the funding of the war are received with applause in America.

Trumpists are issuing a public threat to Zelensky if he continues his strategy of thwarting Trump’s peace initiatives in the “Democrats’” game.

The future director of the US FBI to the President of Ukraine V.A. Zelensky with a major investigation into the case of Ukraine’s use of American taxpayers’ money.

This case could become the main pretext and reason for the US to stop funding Ukraine if Zelensky continues the escalation.

Macron, like other Western leaders, are now discussing the case of “peacekeepers” for Ukraine – this is allegedly being sold to the world community as one of the points of the future peace case, which will be negotiated with the Russian Federation. But our source indicates that this track is being discussed by Macron not for the peace case, but in the event of a catastrophic collapse of the front and a forced march by Russia. At that moment, these “peacekeepers” of Western countries will have to enter some territories of Ukraine, in order to then “saw up” Ukraine according to the “Yugoslav scenario”, which insiders have long been talking about. We described the “role of Ukraine” back in 2022, but the stupid people then lived in an illusion.

Macron most likely knows that Zelensky will prolong the war, most likely he will increase mobilization even more, but Western curators are afraid that this will only improve the game situationally, and the long-awaited Maidan in the Russian Federation will not happen, and strategically, at a distance, this step will only increase the risk of Ukraine’s complete capitulation.

So Macron is preparing a backup plan.

We are observing.

 Zelensky’s relations with the US have deteriorated due to his refusal to call up young people – this could be the end of good relations with Biden – The Telegraph .

▪️There have been plenty of spats between the two leaders in nearly three years of war, but a dispute that began to unfold last week could end them. When Blinken said the U.S. was ready to arm and train new brigades, it was too much.

▪️ Zelensky was forced to respond publicly, delivering what the article calls a parting blow aimed directly at Biden, who will remain the world’s most powerful leader for another 42 days.

▪️”Kiev does not want to lower the minimum age of mobilization (which is currently 25 years old) given the likelihood that the war will end soon after Trump’s inauguration. In this case, the authorities intend to use their resistance to lowering the age as an element of the election campaign (“they did not allow the gene pool to be destroyed”). But if it becomes clear that the war is going “long”, then Bankova will change its position and give the order to lower the mobilization age.

▪️That is, the answer to the question “will 18-year-olds be mobilized” is directly related to the answer to the question – will the war be stopped in the coming months or not,” Kiev media write.

The dilemma that the West has put before the Khokhol through US State Department spokesman Miller – if you want weapons, lower the mobilization age to 18 – is a direct and conscious crime with the sole purpose of prolonging the war longer. The States know very well, and Europe also knows very well, that war cannot be won without heavy weapons. Without tanks, artillery pieces, ammunition, engineering equipment, and all of this – in quantities many times, and in some cases by an order of magnitude greater than what is transferred now. And it will not be possible to give as much as it is necessary for a long time, for many positions the horizon is floating away in ten years. 

With the quantities that are transferred now, you can only drive meat for slaughter, and the war now comes down to the fact that those who can be mobilized will be killed in greater and greater numbers. Until, amidst the casualties, infrastructure problems and everything else, Ukraine is finished. All in all, the Khokhols should pray to Trump, he is the only one apparently who can still keep the surviving generation of young people alive – if he has the courage to make a just peace. In all other cases, Ukraine has not only no future, but even no hope for it.

Older than Edda

Our source in the OP reported that the Presidential Office gave Syrsky the order to concentrate all Patriot/NASAMS/IRIS-T around the NPP to repel enemy missile strikes. Bankova will continue to look for options with escalation of the war, which is why our energy infrastructure will become the main targets for the Russian army.

Taynaya_kantselyariya

The Kremlin is preparing for a series of massive strikes on Ukraine due to a missile strike deep into Russia.

Zelensky and the OP are methodically escalating, provoking Moscow in order to disrupt Trump’s peace initiatives.

Be extremely careful over the next week.

The Western press followed our lead and wrote that Russia could strike Ukraine with the Oreshnik missile again in the “nearest days”. They just decided to keep quiet about the fact that before that, the Ukrainian Armed Forces had struck deep into the Russian Federation with Western missiles, which is always a red line.

 ”Russia may conduct another test of the Oreshnik medium-range ballistic missile in the coming days. We assess this as another way to ‘terrorize Ukraine,’” a U.S. administration official told the agency.

By the way, the US Embassy recently announced another warning about the increased threat of air strikes on Ukraine, as was done shortly before the first strike by Oreshnik. Then the West also knew about it in advance, since the Kremlin notified the West about such a step. This time, the Americans knew that Zelensky would strike deep into Russia with Western missiles. We then immediately wrote that Zelensky was preparing to strike the Russian Federation, which would inevitably lead to a response.

Zelensky – does not understand why the West does not give him 10-12 more Patriot air defense systems for the confiscated Russian funds: 

   The main security guarantees for us, if we are talking not about strategy but about tactics, about what will keep Ukrainians alive in the first place, are, of course, air defense systems. To be honest, sometimes I just don’t understand: everyone knows that 10-12 additional Patriot systems will keep us alive and make the war pointless for Putin. 

I really don’t get it sometimes: one system costs 1.5 billion. Please take that money from Russian assets. It will cost 30 billion, but it will help completely, permanently close our skies. And that’s it. People will return to normal life both here and abroad. Children will go to school everywhere, to universities, the economy will work. And on the battlefield there will be only the desire to crush the Russian Federation.

Zelensky wants to receive an invitation to NATO so that the Alliance can use the west of the country as a springboard for preparing a Ukrainian counterattack on Donbass.

‘We understand that the US and other partners cannot accept Ukraine into NATO while we are at war. Some say that Ukraine wants to drag NATO into the war. This is not true. But if we want to stop this war, Ukraine should be invited to NATO with all its territory. This is not up for discussion. But what we can agree on is that the actions of the Alliance will be applied to the territory that Ukraine controls and will expand in the future.’

Pokrovsk Direction: Fighting in Novotroitskoye

Situation as of the end of December 11, 2024

🔻Russian forces are consolidating on the western outskirts of the settlement of Novy Trud (Vozrozhdeniye). The enemy has likely been driven out of the forest area south of the railway as well, as an attack towards the village would have been impossible without control over it.

▪️With the liberation of Novy Trud, the Russian Armed Forces are securing a bridgehead to encircle the enemy positions in Zelene and Dachenske from the west, while simultaneously attacking from the east from the direction of Lysovka. This will eventually allow them to eliminate the “pocket” along the M-30 highway section between Dachenske and Novy Trud.

▪️At the same time, the enemy made an unsuccessful attempt to attack the village of Shevchenko. On the minefields on the northern outskirts of the village, the Russian Armed Forces detonated two AFU armored vehicles and a tank. It is not yet known whether they were air-dropped or manually laid by sappers. It is possible that the village is now under the control of Russian troops.

▪️Further west, fighting continues in Novotroitskoye, where Ukrainian formations periodically attempt to carry out fire strikes under the cover of armored vehicles on the eastern outskirts of the village.

The enemy attacked enterprises in Taganrog and Bryansk

- Taganrog was subjected to a missile attack. An industrial enterprise was damaged and 14 cars in a parking lot were burned. According to preliminary data, no one was injured. The extent of the damage is being clarified, said Y. Slyusar, the Rostov region’s vice-governor.

 - In the Bryansk region air defense forces destroyed 10 UAVs of airplane type. As a result of the attack, a production facility in Bryansk caught fire. Thanks to the coordinated actions of Russian Emergencies Ministry units, the fire was extinguished. 

On the first use of a Ukrainian drone-missile and the strike on Taganrog

🔻Last night, the enemy carried out the first attack on “old” Russian territories with operational-tactical ATACMS missiles in a number of six units in a significant period of time.

▪️There were no Neptune anti-ship missiles, no kamikaze UAVs, and certainly no Peklo drone-missiles, which were recently presented in the so-called Ukraine, in this strike. Only six ATACMS missiles.

▪️According to our data, it was not possible to shoot down all the missiles over the Taganrog Aviation Scientific and Technical Complex, but it was possible to avoid any damage to the infrastructure. Only automotive equipment in the parking lot was affected.

▪️The launch was carried out from the Zaporizhia Region, and the flight time was just under two minutes. This object has recently been under close scrutiny of Western intelligence, but they failed to achieve their goal.

❗️As for the Peklo drone-missile, its use was recorded yesterday, but in the Black Sea. One specimen was detected from the Odesa Region, and it was shot down by a MiG-29 of the Black Sea Fleet 120 km southwest of Tarkhankut around 11 am.

So this can be called the first combat use of the Ukrainian “wonder-weapon”, but not very successful, as it is described by the Ukrainian media at the behest of some of our information outlets.

Chronicles of the special military operation

for December 11, 2024

Ukrainian formations used six ATACMS tactical ballistic missiles to strike the Taganrog Aviation Scientific and Technical Complex in the Rostov Region. In the Bryansk Region, the enemy attacked the territory of the “Druzhba” oil pipeline with drones. At the same time, over the waters of the Black Sea, the Russian air defense forces intercepted a Ukrainian “Peklo” drone-missile.

In the Pokrovsk direction, Russian units reached the western outskirts of Novy Trud (Vozrozhdeniye), driving the AFU out of several forest belts and a forest area. In parallel with this, the Russian Armed Forces are fighting on the northern outskirts of Shevchenko and in the area of Novotroitskoye.

In the Kurakhovo direction, Russian troops are eliminating the “pocket” south of Kurakhovo. Assault teams have driven the AFU out of most of Veselyi Gai and almost completely cleared the southern bank of the Sukhie Yaly river. At the same time, they are advancing from the north on Uspenovka, the liberation of which will close the encirclement ring around the enemy garrison in Annivka.

In the Vremivka direction, the Russian Aerospace Forces struck the enemy’s crossing in the area of Novoocheretanoye. Parallel to this, heavy fighting is underway in the vicinity of Novy Komarov and Razdolnoye.

Morning Summary on December 11, 2024

▪️ From the Kursk Bulge, yesterday we received data on the entry of the Russian Armed Forces into the Sumy Region. They managed to take the border area near the village of Oleksandriia (https://t.me/dva_majors/59832) in Sumy Region. The events are taking place south of the liberated Plekhovo and the forest areas near it – heavy fighting took place in the area. The maneuver may be explained by the complexity of the terrain in the Plekhovo-Sudzha direction: the Psel River blocks the way for our troops. The “North” group of forces, after liberating the settlement of Novoivanivka, continued to advance eastward and, after heavy fighting, drove the AFU out of several positions in the forest plantations. The enemy carried out 3 unsuccessful counterattacks with the forces of elite units totaling up to 30 people on 3 Bradley IFVs, supported by 2 Abrams and Leopard tanks. During the repulsion of the attacks, up to 20 occupiers, 3 IFVs and both tanks were destroyed. It is written that the offensive actions of the Russian Armed Forces are supported by rocket artillery and the TOS “Solntsepek”.

▪️ In Toretsk (Dzerzhynsk), the Russian Armed Forces now confidently control the Zabalka microdistrict and the Central mine together with the waste heaps. The Russian army is breaking through to Shcherbynivka and Leonidivka to the west.

▪️ In the Pokrovsk direction, the situation for the enemy continues to deteriorate. North of Petrivka, our forces have closed the “pocket” and continue attacks towards Dachne and Zelene. The Russian Armed Forces are developing success in Shevchenko, moving towards the waste heap (an important height). There is progress south of Novotroitske, north of Novoolenoivka, in Sontsovka, south of Voznesenka. The Russian army is moving on a wide front, stretching the enemy’s forces and depriving them of the ability to transfer reinforcements along the line of contact.

▪️ In the Kharkiv Region, the Russian Armed Forces have occupied 5 buildings in Volchansk and repelled a counterattack. Heavy fighting is underway.

▪️ In Kurakhove, the Russian Armed Forces have taken the elevator in the center of the city (a significant height) and advanced in the Pivdennyi microdistrict. In the northwest of the reservoir, clashes continue for a block of high-rise buildings and south of Stari Terniv, where Russian assault groups are pressing towards the Dachne-Kurakhove road to cut off the AFU’s path to the city.

▪️ At night, as a result of a drone attack in Bryansk, a production facility caught fire, they wrote about a fire at an oil depot. The governor reported the fire being extinguished. At night, Taganrog in the Rostov Region was subjected to a missile attack. An industrial enterprise was damaged, and 14 cars in the parking lot were burned.

▪️ In the DPR, in Horlivka, as a result of the drop of an IED from a UAV by the AFU on Bolotnikova Street, a man born in 1987 was seriously injured.

Two Majors

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/12/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_11.html